In 2026, North Rhine-Westphalia will face a serious drop in the number of upper secondary school graduates: 40,000 fewer than usual - almost minus 60% of the usual flow. The situation is similar in the state of Schleswig-Holstein, where the number of applicants is also predicted to drop significantly. The reason is simple: both states are switching from a 12-year to a 13-year school system. A similar reform took place last year in Bavaria - at that time, the upper secondary schools produced 26,000 fewer graduates than in previous years.
What does this mean for enrollees?
Due to the sharp decline in the number of applicants, many universities are already announcing plans to cancel the competition (NC) in a number of areas and significantly simplify admission.
Tip from UniApply Germany:
Take a closer look at universities in North Rhine-Westphalia and Schleswig-Holstein - in 2026 there may be particularly good chances of admission even for popular majors.
A plus for those seeking dual education: Fewer graduates - higher demand from companies. This can be a real advantage for applicants planning to enroll in dual programs.


